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Red100
59935.6
31430.4
Blue35
29426.8
112517.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838010015010035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
35.64.1
21.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
294
Unranked
26.80.5
26.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
30.44.8
33.938.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1125
Unranked
17.30.7
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End