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Red20
85120.5
59820.9
Blue15
8151.1
111015.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531604060801001201401602015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
598
Unranked
20.93.6
23.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1110
Unranked
15.90.6
16.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
851
Unranked
20.53.6
25.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
815
Unranked
1.10.5
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End