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Red20
6879.4
58926.4
Blue10
60610.6
39926.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310204060801002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
Unranked
26.41.2
17.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
399
Unranked
26.32.6
23.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
687
Unranked
9.41.2
12.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
606
Unranked
10.62.1
7.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End