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Red5
14520.2
114810.7
Blue30
104724.9
86719.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26440100150530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
Unranked
10.72.9
16.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
1047
Unranked
24.91.5
21.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1452
Unranked
0.22.9
11.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
867
Unranked
19.11.5
20.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End