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Red70
118710.7
97423.4
Blue25
114810.7
84814.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302801020405060707025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
974
Unranked
23.45.0
20.025.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
848
Unranked
14.30.4
14.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1187
Unranked
10.74.3
10.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1148
Unranked
10.70.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End