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Red20
111514.6
115916.1
Blue80
98919.0
99222.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264501001502080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1159
Unranked
16.11.0
12.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
992
Unranked
22.14.6
21.526.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1115
Unranked
14.61.0
16.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
989
Unranked
19.04.6
21.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End