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Red20
8151.1
58926.4
Blue10
116018.3
58016.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1938060801001201402010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
Unranked
26.40.1
20.019.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
1160
Unranked
18.33.2
14.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
1.10.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
580
Unranked
16.23.2
20.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End