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Red20
98117.6
33038.6
Blue5
14520.2
113826.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6731050100150205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
38.63.9
46.642.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
1138
Unranked
26.92.2
26.424.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
981
Unranked
17.63.6
16.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
1452
Unranked
0.23.7
8.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End