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Red15
107015.4
118710.7
Blue25
97423.4
8127.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31300102040506070801525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
Unranked
15.41.8
15.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
974
Unranked
23.40.8
25.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1187
Unranked
10.71.5
14.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
812
Unranked
7.60.8
6.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End