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Red20
41024.7
113613.5
Blue15
58016.2
10466.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4324060801002015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
410
Unranked
24.72.6
25.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
580
Unranked
16.21.4
17.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1136
Unranked
13.51.8
15.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1046
Unranked
6.11.4
8.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End