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Red50
121844.1
46945.4
86838.4
Blue145
7167.3
49444.9
43542.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131159010020030040050145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
45.42.1
47.545.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
71
Unranked
67.30.3
67.667.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
44.12.1
46.244.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
494
Unranked
44.90.3
45.244.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
868
Unranked
38.42.1
40.538.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
435
Unranked
42.80.3
43.142.8
Auto
Teleop
End