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Red110
6065.8
6835.5
87816.6
Blue130
66232.9
98232.0
93821.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13475050100150200250300110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
65.80.4
68.568.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.9
662
Unranked
32.91.8
31.032.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
35.50.4
38.237.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
982
Unranked
32.01.8
30.131.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
878
Unranked
16.60.7
20.820.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
938
Unranked
21.81.8
19.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End