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Qual 102004 Colorado Regional
Red30
76413.2
137721.6
Blue5
133910.4
116417.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35410206080100120140160305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1377
Unranked
21.64.1
21.6→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.1
1164
Unranked
17.54.5
22.4→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
764
Unranked
13.20.7
17.7→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
1339
Unranked
10.43.3
10.4→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—