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Red70
132429.9
93821.8
Blue25
119022.9
77013.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52300204060801001201407025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1324
Unranked
29.91.9
23.024.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1190
Unranked
22.90.9
15.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
938
Unranked
21.82.6
26.529.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
770
Unranked
13.30.9
16.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End