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Red100
124535.5
139321.1
Blue50
76413.2
94230.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4738020608010012014016010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
Unranked
35.56.7
32.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
942
Unranked
30.51.4
24.425.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1393
Unranked
21.14.5
13.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
764
Unranked
13.21.4
14.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End