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Red70
6835.5
76413.2
Blue30
94230.5
8758.4
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060801001207030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
35.51.8
34.035.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
942
Unranked
30.50.8
25.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
764
Unranked
13.22.5
16.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
875
Unranked
8.40.8
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End