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Red20
142612.1
93821.8
Blue85
87632.3
15932.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270204060801002085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
Unranked
21.83.0
28.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
159
Unranked
32.77.0
17.124.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1426
Unranked
12.13.0
15.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
876
Unranked
32.37.0
11.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End