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Red35
136119.2
94230.5
Blue45
137721.6
8758.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801003545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
942
Unranked
30.51.2
25.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1377
Unranked
21.61.8
20.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1361
Unranked
19.21.2
19.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
875
Unranked
8.41.8
9.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End