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Red60
133217.2
87740.5
Blue5
93821.8
76510.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63310204080100120140160605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
40.50.1
50.150.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
938
Unranked
21.83.7
25.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1332
Unranked
17.20.1
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
765
Unranked
10.43.7
9.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End