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Red25
137721.6
136119.2
Blue35
141012.6
124535.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395501001502002535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1377
Unranked
21.62.0
22.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
1245
Unranked
35.52.2
39.036.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1361
Unranked
19.22.0
18.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1410
Unranked
12.62.2
14.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End