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Red20
83113.9
116417.5
Blue15
142612.1
134821.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128010204050602015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
Unranked
17.51.4
14.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1348
Unranked
21.01.7
16.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
831
Unranked
13.91.4
16.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1426
Unranked
12.11.7
12.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End