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Red40
76413.2
93821.8
Blue20
14789.8
87816.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
Unranked
21.80.6
21.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
878
Unranked
16.61.2
17.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
764
Unranked
13.20.6
13.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1478
Unranked
9.81.2
12.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End