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Red100
116417.5
15932.7
Blue20
8758.4
133815.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41220608010010020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
32.77.1
26.133.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
1338
Unranked
15.30.5
15.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1164
Unranked
17.57.1
12.920.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
875
Unranked
8.40.4
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End