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Red80
134821.0
119022.9
Blue10
14284.7
76413.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35190103040506070808010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1190
Unranked
22.95.5
17.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
764
Unranked
13.21.2
14.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
Unranked
21.05.9
14.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
1428
Unranked
4.71.2
5.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End