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Red65
98232.0
115723.6
Blue15
77013.3
14789.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532204060801001201406515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
982
Unranked
32.01.8
29.231.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
770
Unranked
13.31.3
14.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1157
Unranked
23.61.9
20.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
1478
Unranked
9.81.3
11.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End