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Red100
132429.9
76510.4
115723.6
Blue125
66232.9
98232.0
93821.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283050100150200100125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1324
Unranked
29.90.9
30.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
662
Unranked
32.91.6
30.832.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1157
Unranked
23.61.4
23.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
982
Unranked
32.01.6
30.031.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
765
Unranked
10.41.4
10.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
938
Unranked
21.81.6
19.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End