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Red165
57150.8
71648.5
23032.4
Blue110
54637.0
52145.7
102723.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128103050150200250300165110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
50.81.0
48.849.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
521
Unranked
45.70.1
45.545.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
Unranked
48.51.0
46.547.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
546
Unranked
37.00.1
36.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
230
Unranked
32.41.3
29.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1027
Unranked
23.60.1
23.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End