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Red5
3829.2
78244.6
Blue40
149315.8
99912.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442606080100120140540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
44.64.6
29.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
1493
Unranked
15.81.5
20.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38
Unranked
29.24.6
12.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
999
Unranked
12.21.5
7.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End