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Red40
15518.2
17346.1
Blue25
140933.9
23032.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584401001504025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
46.11.6
39.337.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1409
Unranked
33.92.6
22.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
Unranked
18.21.6
17.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
230
Unranked
32.42.6
22.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End