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Red125
17652.4
71648.5
Blue120
2041.8
17554.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105580150200250125120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
52.42.5
64.867.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
175
Unranked
54.95.2
46.551.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
Unranked
48.52.3
35.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
20
Unranked
41.87.1
16.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End