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Red40
99912.2
18146.3
Blue65
102723.6
54637.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445601001504065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
46.30.5
36.936.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
546
Unranked
37.01.3
28.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
12.20.7
8.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
1027
Unranked
23.61.3
26.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End