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Red35
3829.2
5586.6
Blue100
83927.8
57150.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337705010015020025035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38
Unranked
29.20.3
26.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
571
Unranked
50.82.1
44.146.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
6.60.3
11.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
839
Unranked
27.82.1
28.530.6
Auto
Teleop
End