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Red100
57150.8
110036.8
Blue35
107120.9
83927.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7458010015020025010035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
50.82.1
46.248.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
839
Unranked
27.81.9
30.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
36.83.5
26.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
1071
Unranked
20.93.1
29.526.4
Auto
Teleop
End