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Red70
105916.9
71648.5
Blue100
52145.7
54637.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617505010015020070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
48.50.6
46.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
521
Unranked
45.72.9
41.043.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1059
Unranked
16.90.9
16.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
546
Unranked
37.02.9
32.335.2
Auto
Teleop
End