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Red175
57150.8
71648.5
23032.4
Blue125
23650.0
17842.8
50029.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912550100150200250175125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
50.81.2
49.851.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
236
Unranked
50.00.0
51.351.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
Unranked
48.51.2
47.548.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
178
Unranked
42.80.0
44.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
230
Unranked
32.41.6
31.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
500
Unranked
29.00.0
30.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End