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Red80
16622.3
96746.5
Blue50
33732.7
124329.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67600501001502008050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
Unranked
46.51.3
42.043.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
337
Unranked
32.70.8
31.630.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
22.31.0
24.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1243
Unranked
29.10.8
28.828.1
Auto
Teleop
End