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Red130
11442.9
27947.9
Blue25
48115.8
81025.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions913805015020013025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
47.93.4
45.749.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
810
Unranked
25.41.4
26.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
42.93.4
39.542.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
481
Unranked
15.81.4
17.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End