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Red130
111460.9
56331.0
Blue125
85919.9
118853.9
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9361050150200250130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
60.93.0
60.063.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1188
Unranked
53.94.5
49.453.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
31.03.0
30.033.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
859
Unranked
19.94.5
15.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End