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Red130
84227.9
22440.9
Blue85
142220.5
61439.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6850010015013085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
40.94.8
47.051.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
614
Unranked
39.02.7
32.935.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
Unranked
27.97.5
18.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1422
Unranked
20.53.6
19.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End