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Red25
139813.1
96746.5
Blue100
46142.9
109725.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6053010015020025100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
Unranked
46.54.0
43.539.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
461
Unranked
42.93.5
32.536.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1398
Unranked
13.12.6
15.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
1097
Unranked
25.83.5
21.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End