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Red60
2243.6
142220.5
Blue20
138827.0
49822.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525901001502006020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
43.60.6
29.830.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
1388
Unranked
27.03.5
24.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1422
Unranked
20.50.7
22.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
498
Unranked
22.43.9
34.130.2
Auto
Teleop
End