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Red185
23365.7
37938.5
Blue25
19043.6
139813.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8950010015020018525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
65.77.5
60.968.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
190
Unranked
43.62.2
41.239.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
38.57.5
24.231.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.4
1398
Unranked
13.12.2
13.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End