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Red170
29261.2
118853.9
Blue120
114342.0
103834.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10667050150200250170120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
61.25.1
65.470.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
1143
Unranked
42.04.0
42.846.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1188
Unranked
53.95.1
36.441.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
1038
Unranked
34.44.8
28.733.6
Auto
Teleop
End