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Red20
98915.3
13845.5
Blue90
124329.1
31229.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67600501001502090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
45.55.0
38.933.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
312
Unranked
29.52.2
35.938.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
989
Unranked
15.34.6
27.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
1243
Unranked
29.12.2
25.327.4
Auto
Teleop
End