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Red70
9637.0
11442.9
Blue45
16622.3
95529.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775001001502007045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
42.90.3
47.046.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
955
Unranked
29.60.6
25.825.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
96
Unranked
37.00.3
26.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
166
Unranked
22.30.7
26.926.1
Auto
Teleop
End