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Red65
109725.8
44025.5
Blue70
114342.0
81623.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507401001502002503003506570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1097
Unranked
25.80.9
27.528.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
1143
Unranked
42.00.1
46.946.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
440
Unranked
25.50.9
25.126.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
816
Unranked
23.30.1
24.224.1
Auto
Teleop
End