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Red50
102925.3
75228.8
Blue100
22440.9
17935.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349905015020025030050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
752
Unranked
28.80.8
23.524.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
224
Unranked
40.90.6
48.649.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1029
Unranked
25.30.7
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
179
Unranked
35.20.6
43.444.0
Auto
Teleop
End