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Red155
30252.6
36228.1
Blue170
58233.0
12658.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9477050150200155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
52.64.7
66.971.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
126
Unranked
58.96.8
54.761.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
362
Unranked
28.15.3
25.030.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
582
Unranked
33.06.8
24.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End