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Red125
81025.4
118853.9
Blue50
10337.6
109725.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716902040608010012014016012550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
53.94.3
45.149.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
103
Unranked
37.61.6
43.141.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
Unranked
25.44.3
22.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1097
Unranked
25.81.6
28.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End