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Red75
40639.9
24524.0
Blue120
121636.8
90337.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447010015020025075120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
406
Unranked
39.92.3
26.729.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
903
Unranked
37.89.0
21.029.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
Unranked
24.02.7
26.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
1216
Unranked
36.89.0
27.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End